Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK A poll of more than 1,000 people . Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. 4th October 2022| Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Scottish independence: SNP and indy support drops in new poll as Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Two new polls suggest near-wipeout for the SNP as Labour's Scottish Latest general election voting intention opinion polls - Mark Pack Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. Company number: SC669393. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. . CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. conducted. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Voting Intention: Con 28%, Lab 45% (23-25 Sep 2022) | YouGov By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. US ; About ; For business ; . Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Labour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. Please try different keywords. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. @britainelects. Britain Elects. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. All Rights Reserved. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. In all polls the dont knows are removed. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". The latest Panelbase survey. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament". Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. It's Andrew's Previews for. Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The poll for the Sun found. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. Stay informed. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest News Question asked. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? About; Social . Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? : medium.com. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. All Rights Reserved. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Energy & utilities. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. Something went wrong, please try again later.